The AsiaFluCap Simulator is
an innovative and user-friendly tool for assessing health system capacity for
responding to various pandemic influenza scenarios. Designed as a tool for
evidence-based resource allocation, this unique simulator is able to estimate
and display the availability, needs and gaps of 28 key health care resources
(e.g. materials, equipment and personnel) for a selected pandemic scenario in a
country, province or region. The AsiaFluCap Simulator was built in Microsoft
Excel making the simulator easily accessible. The development of the tool was
part of the international AsiaFluCap project.
*MS Windows and Office is a copyrighted product produced by Microsoft
Corporation, WA. Use of
trade names and commercial sources is for identification only and does not
imply endorsement by the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (LSHTM)
or the National Institute of Public Health and the Environment (RIVM).
- Windows operating system (MS
Windows 2000 or newer)*
- Microsoft Excel (MS Office
2000 or newer)*
- 486 Pentium processor and at
least 128MB RAM
- 20 MB of hard drive storage
Download files => The AsiaFluCap
Simulator Beta Version 2 (UPDATED!) (download)
Most important changes in interface compared to
Beta Version 1:
- Choose between a mild, moderate and severe pandemic scenario.
- Change the Basic Reproduction Number (R0) for each of the three
scenarios to study the effect on resource availability and for
performing sensitivity analysis.
- Include contact reduction (in the community and/or hospitals).
- Change the threshold value for the low and high pandemic activity
periods to account for changes in resource use during outbreaks.
- The AsiaFluCap
Simulator Quick Start Guide (download)
- List of Abbrevations Health Care Resources (download)
Instructions for downloading
After downloading the AsiaFluCap Simulator, you must change MS Excel's security level. Take the following steps:
1. Open the AsiaFluCap Simulator
2. Click Tools and then click Macro, choose Security
3. Set Security Level to Medium or Low
4. Click OK.
When asked to Disable Macros or Enable Macros, click Enable Macros. It might be required to restart MS Excel. We recommend downloading the AsiaFluCap Simulator and saving the file to your computer and then open the file from your computer. This will allow the file to open in Excel instead of your web browser.
Please provide us with your contact
details after downloading the AsiaFluCap Simulator. We will keep you updated about new versions and you can help
us improve the simulator by giving us your feedback!
Download the Quick Start Guide video:
How to create maps?
The AsiaFluCap Simulator contains a function to export the simulation results to GIS software (see for instruction the Quick Start Guide). Creating maps requires downloading and installation of GIS software. It is possible to use Open Source GIS software, like MapWindow, to create maps of the simulation results.
Instructions for creating maps*
1. Download shapefile Thailand (zip-file) on your computer
and extract all three files to one folder.
2. Use the export function in
the AsiaFluCap Simulator and replace the .dbf file in the folder
that you created in step 1 (by searching the folder and double clicking on .dbf
3. Open the GIS software and add the shapefile.
*For detailed instructions we kindly refer you to the Quick Start Guide. Note: Not all GIS software operates with the .dbf file created by
Any problems or questions regarding the use of the AsiaFluCap Simulator please contact Mart Stein
at firstname.lastname@example.org.The source code of the interface of the AsiaFluCap
Simulator can be made available upon request.
What is AsiaFluCap Simulator
The AsiaFluCap Simulator can be used for:
There is also potential for further expansion of the
simulator for other scenarios, diseases and resources.
- Assessing health care capacity during various pandemic scenarios
(providing insight for resource
- Informing strategic and operational plans to improve pandemic
preparedness and response
- Training and exercises (e.g. for decision-making and ‘war room’situations)
Who is the AFC Simulator designed for?
Policy makers, policy advisors, donors and other stakeholders nvolved in pandemic preparedness and healthcare resource allocation at regional, national or local levels.
Please be noted that...
For demonstration purposes, this beta version contains all provinces of Thailand, with fictitious data on resource availability. You can add other provinces or districts with data on resource availability by removing the provinces of Thailand in the ‘Input data avr’ tab in the Excel file.
We emphasize that this AsiaFluCap Simulator cannot:
- predict when the next pandemic will arise
- predict the outbreak progression of future pandemics
- predict the actual amount of resources needed during future pandemics
- give age-sensitive results.
The AsiaFluCap Simulator can:
- provide indications of the impact on public health and resource capacity
- highlight possible resource gaps
- prioritise resources which should be scaled-up
- link resource gaps to their relative number of avoidable deaths.
The AsiaFluCap Simulator has been described in BMC Public Health (2012). To reference the simulator, please use the following citation:
Stein ML, Rudge JW, Coker R, Weijden C, Krumkamp R, Hanvoravongchai P, Chavez I, Putthasri W, Phommasack B, Adisasmito W, Touch S, Sat LM, Hsu YC, Kretzschmar M, Timen A. Development of a resource modelling tool to support decision makers in pandemic influenza preparedness: The AsiaFluCap Simulator. BMC Public Health, 2012 12(1):870 doi:10.1186/1471-2458-12-870
Related articles and materials
Adisasmito W, Hunter BM, Krumkamp R, Latief K, Rudge JW,
Hanvoravongchai P, Coker RJ: Pandemic Influenza and Health System Resource Gaps in Bali: An Analysis Through a Resource Transmission Dynamics Model. Asia Pac J
Public Health 2011.
James W. Rudge, Piya Hanvoravongchai, Ralf Krumkamp, Irwin
Chavez, Wiku Adisasmito, Pham Ngoc Chau, Bounlay
Phommasak, Weerasak Putthasri, Chin-Shui Shih, Mart
Stein, Aura Timen, Sok Touch, Ralf Reintjes, Richard Coker.Health System Resource Gaps and
Associated Mortality from Pandemic Influenza across Six Asian Territories. PlosONE, 2012 7(2): e31800
Presentation AsiaFluCap Simulator, Pandemic
Preparedness Conference, Bangkok 2011 (download)
AsiaFluCap Simulator, Pandemic Preparedness Conference, Bangkok 2011 (download)
Simulator Infosheet (download